Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 130.016005 150.515036 174.503890 204.989436 243.195436 290.176926 3.534184e+02
2025-03-16 100.011376 124.317594 155.796808 200.722467 265.258861 358.184007 5.095360e+02
2025-03-23 88.178939 115.135834 152.650432 211.035645 304.491819 458.414940 7.579788e+02
2025-03-30 75.776970 102.144632 140.620513 204.158628 314.049550 514.435965 9.657849e+02
2025-04-06 68.435804 94.889535 135.170552 205.436669 336.327160 600.764733 1.298654e+03
2025-04-13 62.276287 88.361636 129.504643 204.686378 354.143761 685.883456 1.710301e+03
2025-04-20 59.036542 85.818453 129.671222 213.963220 394.259015 841.520590 2.532599e+03
2025-04-27 57.472185 85.673519 133.705031 231.212724 457.599847 1098.399878 4.268832e+03
2025-05-04 53.315003 80.692342 128.453313 228.768634 474.290557 1234.263597 5.846251e+03
2025-05-11 50.368908 77.438830 125.859254 231.294819 504.588152 1441.125329 8.808060e+03
2025-05-18 46.983602 73.070787 120.604097 226.949540 515.038385 1586.336592 1.223723e+04
2025-05-25 44.700374 70.440732 118.350303 228.979545 544.887886 1845.617935 1.989397e+04
2025-06-01 42.457027 67.896578 116.393762 232.505561 585.265063 2233.434428 3.997199e+04
2025-06-08 39.587049 63.968076 111.245985 227.435909 597.019416 2503.049622 7.371240e+04
2025-06-15 38.526611 63.317879 112.755848 239.677842 676.593435 3378.271260 3.798071e+05
2025-06-22 35.938779 59.497551 107.051877 231.510347 675.551819 3672.515544 1.185101e+06
2025-06-29 34.341190 57.467446 104.996143 233.026915 715.527883 4466.573286 9.717314e+07
2025-07-06 32.723421 55.258754 102.284587 232.136522 745.654815 5303.807586 NaN
2025-07-13 32.022276 54.818505 103.502270 243.159942 839.330091 7491.012959 NaN
2025-07-20 31.888030 55.512138 107.431505 263.737926 1001.780422 12619.527731 NaN
2025-07-27 30.442538 53.357405 104.311153 260.815957 1032.507690 15377.099551 NaN
2025-08-03 29.418937 52.014763 103.022463 263.836108 1103.928795 21018.830113 NaN
2025-08-10 28.070572 49.884565 99.565651 258.642513 1119.304060 25099.801738 NaN